Bitcoin, gold, or stocks? Senior commodity strategist weighs in on the battle 
Finance Jul 26, 2024 Share
Cryptocurrencies, commodities, and stocks are among the most popular risk assets for investment and trade, also leading finance indicators. Bitcoin (BTC) leads the cryptocurrency market, gold leads the commodity market, and the S&P 500 indexes stock market leaders.
In this context, Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, shared a recent analysis weighing their current state. McGlone stated he is biased toward the precious metal as the currently best asset for investing amid growing “deflationary” uncertainty.
According to the data presented on July 26, the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index has dropped 2% below its 200-day moving average, raising an alert of a potential bearish reversal. Moreover, the chart shows a significant battle between the S&P 500 and gold while Bitcoin loses momentum.
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On that note, McGlone argues the performance battle between the S&P 500 and gold “may have enduring macroeconomic significance.”
200-day moving average of Bitcoin, gold, and S&P 500. Source: Bloomberg Intelligence / Mike McGlone
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500
Bitcoin, gold, and the S&P 500 represent distinct investment vehicles with unique characteristics and risk profiles.
First, Bitcoin offers high potential returns but faces extreme volatility and regulatory uncertainties. Conversely, gold serves as a traditional safe-haven asset, providing stability during economic turmoil but offering limited growth potential.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 provides broad market exposure and steady long-term growth but can be susceptible to economic downturns.
Bitcoin currently trades at $67,400 and gold at $2,382 per ounce, both showing resilience as a store of value. The S&P 500, at $5,470, continues to demonstrate the overall strength of the U.S. stock market.
Nevertheless, prominent investors like Michael Burry have been offloading their shares in U.S. companies, eyeing an impending recession. On the other hand, analysts are bullish on gold’s potential, while Bitcoin starts signaling a strong momentum on key indicators.
All three assets remain above their 200-day moving averages, indicating positive long-term trends. However, Bitcoin’s recent performance lags behind gold and the S&P 500, which have been competing closely. Investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment goals when choosing between these options.
The cryptocurrency market offers high-risk, high-reward potential, while commodities and stocks provide more established investment avenues. Diversification across these asset classes can help balance risk and potential returns in a portfolio.
Disclaimer: The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.
